Comentários

Comentado por Osulivan

Did a lot of prospecting, the values in the table are the amount of each item I received per ore prospected

Ore	Ore Prospected	Olho-da-ira	Oriblase	Umbryl	Essência da Bravura	Essência do Renascimento	Essência da Servidão	Essência do Tormento
Minério de Solênio	1000	0.114	0.095	0.1	0.044	0	0	0
Minério de Pecavyr	1000	0.099	0.099	0.108	0	0	0	0.069
Minério de Faedro	1000	0.106	0.096	0.097	0	0.063	0	0
Minério de Oxxeína	1000	0.092	0.106	0.087	0	0	0.062	0
Minério de Laestrita	1000	0.103	0.102	0.088	0.008	0.006	0.004	0.002
Minério de Elétio	500	0.218	0.164	0.202	0.064	0.07	0.07	0.082

Comentado por Jungelist

Elethium Ore x 3000
Essence of Torment: 132
Essence of Servitude: 238
Essence of Rebirth: 85
Essence of Valor:216

date: 21.04.2021

Comentado por xstaindx

Prospecting 1000 Solenium Ore on PTR 9.1 got 59 Essence of Valor

Comentado por markattilio

***In short***! - Almost every uncommon ore has the same chance of giving you an essence!
Every ore has a 0.066 to 0.068 chance to yield one essence
This mean it take roughly 15 ore (a.k.a 1 ore divided by 0.067) to get one essence

--------------------------------------------------------

Over the past, almost a year, I've kept a spreadsheet of my major prospecting sessions. I have the data form roughly 275,000 ore that's generated roughly 18,500 essence. I've kept this data and analyzed them with descriptive statistics to report the following.

My data is almost exclusively:

From: (Minério de Solênio - Minério de Oxxeína - Minério de Faedro - Minério de Pecavyr)
To yield: (Essência da Bravura - Essência da Servidão - Essência do Renascimento - Essência do Tormento) respectively

The complicated answer:

The only ore that has a parametric outcome (i.e. will AVERAGE 1 essence per 15 ore) is Minério de Pecavyr
The other three, Minério de Solênio - Minério de Oxxeína - Minério de Faedro, are nonparametrically distributed, which mean that a MEDIAN of 15 ore gets you one essence

I'm a big fan of stats if you can't tell! So what does this complicated answer mean?

When you're trying for just a bit of essence (Maybe < 100 essence from < 1500 ore)

If you're trying to get Essência do Tormento, you can roughly times the amount of essence you need by 15, buy that, and be regularly pretty close to what you want! Some times you get a bit more, maybe a but less, and that all seems to make solid sense. It has a normal bell curve right over 15 ore to get one essence, and it doesn't seem super crazy when you're a bit short or have a bit extra.
If you want less than 100 Essência da Bravura, Essência da Servidão, or Essência do Renascimento, good freaking luck! You'll end up with wildly too few or wildly too many all the time. The MEDIAN or the MOST times you really end up needing 15 but who the heck knows!

When you're trying for just a bit of essence (Maybe > 100 essence from > 1500 ore)

Larger sessions will end up neutralizing a lot of this strange variance. So if you want prospect a ton of ore for a ton of essence, all you need to estimate is a 15:1 ratio!
What's a ton? Roughly the quantity above or the amount of time between patches in Shadowland ;)
I tend to prospect 3000 ish ore a time with really reliable results

Happy crafting y'all!

Other helpful links:
; Prospecção em Massa de Oxxeína; Prospecção em Massa de Faedro; Prospecção em Massa de Pecavyr; Prospecção em Massa de Solênio

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